The Lancet Regional Health - Europe
○ Elsevier BV
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match The Lancet Regional Health - Europe's content profile, based on 32 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Bui, L. V.; Nguyen, D. N.
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Background. Vietnam's disease burden has shifted from communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional (CMNN) causes to non-communicable diseases (NCDs), but the tempo, drivers, and regional positioning of this transition have not been jointly quantified. We characterised Vietnam's epidemiological transition 1990-2023 against ten Southeast-Asian (SEA) peers. Methods. Using Global Burden of Disease 2023 data, we computed joinpoint-regression AAPC with 95% CI (BIC-penalised, up to three break-points) for age-standardised DALY rates and cause-composition shares. We applied Das Gupta three-factor decomposition to 1990-2023 absolute DALY change (population-size, age-structure, age-specific-rate effects) and benchmarked Vietnam's NCD share against an SDI-conditional peer trajectory via leave-one-out quadratic regression. Premature mortality was quantified as WHO 30q70 under both broad NCD and strict SDG 3.4.1 definitions, using Chiang II life-table adjustment identically across all eleven countries. Findings. The CMNN age-standardised DALY rate fell from 13,295.9 to 4,022.1 per 100,000 (AAPC -4.63%/year; 95% CI -4.80 to -4.46); the NCD rate fell only from 21,688.2 to 19,282.8 (AAPC -0.37; -0.45 to -0.30). NCD share of total DALYs rose from 52.99% to 70.67% (+17.67 pp; AAPC +1.09). Vietnam ranked fourth of eleven SEA countries in 2023 (up from sixth in 1990) and sat 5.3% above the SDI-expected trajectory. Das Gupta decomposition attributed the +10.63 million NCD DALY increase to population growth (+6.26 M) and ageing (+6.08 M); rate change removed only 1.71 M. Premature NCD mortality fell from 25.02% to 21.80% (broad, 12.9% reduction) and from 22.17% to 19.50% (SDG 3.4.1, 12.0%; Vietnam sixth of eleven) - far short of the SDG 3.4 one-third-reduction target. Interpretation. Vietnam has entered a disability- and ageing-dominated NCD phase. Meeting SDG 3.4 by 2030 requires population-scale primary prevention sized to demographic momentum.
Robert, A.; Goodfellow, L.; Pellis, L.; van Leeuwen, E.; Edmunds, W. J.; Quilty, B. J.; van Zandvoort, K.; Eggo, R. M.
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BackgroundIn England, the burden of respiratory infections varies by ethnicity, contributing to health inequalities, but the role of additional demographic factors remains underexplored. We quantified how differences in social mixing and demographic characteristics between ethnic groups cause inequalities in transmission dynamics. MethodsWe analysed the association between the ethnicity and the number of contacts of 12,484 participants in the 2024-2025 Reconnect social contact survey, using a negative binomial regression model. We simulated respiratory pathogen epidemics using a compartmental model stratified by age, ethnicity, and contact levels, at a national level and in major cities in England. FindingsAfter adjusting for demographic variables, participants of Black and Mixed ethnicities had more contacts than those of White ethnicity (rate ratios (RR): 1.18 [95% Credible Interval (CI): 1.11-1.26], and 1.31 [95% CI: 1.14-1.52]). Participants of Asian ethnicity had fewer contacts (RR: 0.85 [95% CI: 0.79-0.91]). In national-level simulations, individuals of White ethnicity had the lowest attack rates due to demographic differences and mixing patterns. Local demographic structures changed simulated dynamics: attack rates in individuals of Black and Mixed ethnicities were approximately double those of White ethnicity in Birmingham, but less than 60% higher in Liverpool. InterpretationDemographic characteristics and mixing patterns create inequalities in transmission dynamics between ethnicities, while local demographic characteristics and pathogen infectiousness change the expected relative burden. To ensure mitigation strategies are effective and equitable, their evaluation must explicitly account for inequalities arising from local context. FundingMedical Research Council, National Institute for Health and Care Research, Wellcome Trust Research in context Evidence before this studyWe searched PubMed for population-based studies quantifying differences in respiratory infections between ethnic groups, up to 1 April 2026, with no language restrictions. Keywords included: (respiratory pathogens OR influenza OR COVID-19) AND (ethnic* OR race) AND (inequ*) AND (compartmental model OR incidence rate ratio OR hazard ratio). We excluded studies that focused on non-respiratory pathogens (e.g. looking at consequences of COVID-19 on incidence of other pathogens). A population-based cohort study showed that influenza infection risk was higher in South Asian, Black, and Mixed ethnic groups compared to White ethnicity in England. Another population-based cohort study highlighted that during the first wave of COVID-19 in England, the South Asian, Black, and Mixed ethnic groups were more likely to test positive and to be hospitalised than the White ethnic group. Census data in England showed that the distributions of age, household size, household income and employment status differed between ethnic groups, and the recent Reconnect social contact surveys highlighted the impact of each demographic factor on the participants number of contacts. Added value of this studyOur study shows that social contact patterns, mixing, and demographic structure all lead to unequal infection risk between ethnic groups in respiratory pathogen epidemics. Using the largest available social contact survey in England, we show that both the average number of contacts and the proportion of high-contact individuals varied by ethnic group, even after adjusting for participants demographics. These differences, together with mixing patterns and age structure, led to lower expected incidence among individuals of White ethnicity than in all other ethnic groups in simulated outbreaks. The level of inequality between ethnic groups changed when we used different values of pathogen transmissibility. Finally, as ethnic composition and population structure differ between cities in England, our results show differences in expected inequalities at a local level. Implications of all the available evidenceInequalities in infection risk between ethnic groups are context- and pathogen-dependent. They arise from both local population structure and contact patterns. Detailed information on mixing between groups and population structure is needed to accurately measure group-specific infection risk. These findings indicate that public health interventions based only on national-level estimates conceal regional variation in risk and may ultimately increase inequalities. Public health interventions need to be tailored to local contexts to be equitable and effective. Finally, our findings provide a foundation for understanding the progression from infection-risk inequalities to disparities in disease presentation and clinical outcomes.
Franzese, F.; Bergmann, M.; Burzynska, A.
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Socioeconomic inequalities in health and well-being are a major public health concern, particularly in ageing populations. Education is a key determinant shaping multiple aspects of health outcomes. We used cross-sectional data from wave 9 of the German sample (n=4,148) of the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) to test whether formal education is associated with well-being in later adulthood, with health literacy, self-rated health, and preventive health behaviours as possible mediators. Our results showed that education was positively associated with greater well-being, but only via indirect pathways. Specifically, self-rated health, health literacy, and fruit and vegetable consumption mediated the relationship between education and well-being accounting for 54.7, 24.7, and 12.6 percent of the total effect, respectively. In addition, there were significant positive correlations between education and health literacy, as well as high-intensity physical activity, daily fruit and vegetable consumption, more preventive health check-ups, and less smoking. In contrast, alcohol consumption was more common among those with higher levels of education. All health behaviours and health literacy were correlated directly or indirectly (i.e., mediated by health) with well-being. These findings highlight the importance of examining indirect pathways linking education to well-being in later life. Interventions aimed at improving health literacy and promoting healthy behaviours may help reduce educational inequalities in quality of life among older adults.
Essex, R.; Lim, S.; Jagnoor, J.
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BackgroundDrowning remains a major global public health challenge. This study examined whether the timing and trajectories of urbanisation--beyond the current built environment--are associated with subnational drowning mortality. MethodsWe linked satellite-derived measures of built-environment change (GHSL), population crowding (WorldPop), surface water exposure (JRC Global Surface Water), and infrastructure proxies (VIIRS/DMSP nighttime lights) to GBD 2021 drowning mortality estimates across 203 ADM1 regions in 12 countries (2006-2021; 3,248 region-year observations). Temporal predictors captured recent expansion, development "newness" ([≤]10-year built share), acceleration/volatility, and a crowdingxgrowth interaction. We screened predictors using LASSO (10-fold cross-validation) and fitted mixed-effects models with region random intercepts. Distributed-lag models tested temporal precedence and development age, and income-stratified models assessed heterogeneity. ResultsAdding temporal predictors improved fit beyond contemporaneous built-environment measures ({Delta}AIC=177; {Delta}BIC=147). In adjusted models, crowdingxgrowth was strongly positively associated with drowning mortality, and a higher share of recent development was associated with higher mortality. Lag models showed a development age gradient: older built environment was most protective. Associations differed by income group, with several key coefficients reversing sign across strata. DiscussionDrowning mortality appears shaped by development histories as well as present-day conditions, with risk concentrated in rapidly changing, dense settings and the newest built environments. Cross-context heterogeneity suggests mechanisms and prevention priorities are unlikely to be uniform. ConclusionsDevelopment timing and trajectories help explain subnational drowning mortality beyond current built form alone. Prevention and planning should prioritise transition-period safety strategies in newly developing and rapidly densifying areas.
Nilsson, A.; da Silva, M.; Le, H. T.; Haggstrom, C.; Wahlstrom, J.; Michaelsson, K.; Trolle Lagerros, Y.; Sandin, S.; Magnusson, P. K.; Fritz, J.; Stocks, T.
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Excess body weight has been associated with increased cancer risk, but the role of weight change across adulthood remains unclear. We examined body weight trajectories from ages 17 to 60 and their associations with site-specific cancer incidence. Data were based on the ODDS study, a pooled, nationwide cohort study in Sweden, with data on weight spanning 1911 to 2020, and cancer follow-up through 2023. Weight trajectories were estimated with linear mixed effects models in individuals with at least three weight measurements. Cox regressions estimated hazard ratios for associations between weight trajectories and established and potentially obesity-related cancers. Fifth versus first quintile of weight change was associated with many cancers, most strongly with esophageal adenocarcinoma in men (HR 2.25; 95% CI 1.66-3.04), liver cancer in men (HR 2.67; 95% CI 2.15-3.33), endometrial cancer in women (HR 3.78; 95% CI 3.09-4.61), and pituitary tumors in both sexes (men: HR 3.13 [95% CI 2.13-4.61]; women: HR 2.13 [95% CI 1.41-3.22]). Associations varied by sex and age. Heavier weight at age 17 years and earlier obesity onset were also associated with higher cancer incidence. These findings highlight the importance of a life-course approach to weight management and support sex- and age-targeted cancer prevention strategies.
Conteh, B.; Galagan, S. R.; Badji, H.; Secka, O.; Bar, B. T.; Rao, S. I.; Atlas, H.; Omore, R.; Ochieng, J. B.; Tapia, M.; Cornick, J.; Cunliffe, N.; Zegarra Paredes, L. F.; Colston, J.; Islam, M. T.; Mosharraf, M. P.; Qamar, F. N.; Fatima, I.; Pavlinac, P. B.; Hossain, M. J.
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Globally, respiratory tract infections (RTI) are the main cause of morbidity, and in Low-middle-income countries (LMICs) RTI including pneumonia are a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in children <5 years. Diarrheal illness increases RTI risk in young children through micronutrient depletion, and immune stress, yet data on post-diarrhea RTI burden in LMICs are limited. We determined the prevalence and risk factors of RTI within three months following medically-attended diarrhea (MAD) in children aged 6-35 months enrolled in seven EFGH country sites in Asia, Africa and South America. The EFGH study prospectively enrolled children aged 6-35 months with MAD in selected health facilities during a 24-month period from 2022 to 2024 and followed them for three months. RTI was defined as cough or difficulty breathing and the presence of one of the following symptoms at any scheduled or unscheduled visit during follow-up: stridor; fast-breathing; oxygen saturation <90%; or chest indrawing. The period prevalence and 95% confidence intervals of RTI were calculated, and correlates of RTI were assessed using modified-Poisson regression. From June 2022 to August 2024, 9,476 children aged 6-35 months presenting with MAD in the EFGH study sites were screened: 9,116 (96.2%) included in the current study. Nearly half were female (46.7%), and median age was 15 months. Overall, 48.5% received all age-appropriate vaccines, and 87.6% received the pneumococcal vaccine, with significant variation across countries. Nearly one-quarter of children were stunted, 17.2% wasted, and 21.9% underweight. RTI occurred in 3.8% of children during the three-month follow-up, mostly within the first month. Higher prevalence of RTI occurred among children aged 12-23 months (8.7%), those undernourished (16.1%), unvaccinated (4.0%) or living in poor sanitation settings (4.1%). While children who received all age-appropriate or pneumococcal vaccinations had a lower crude prevalence of RTI, these associations were not statistically significant after adjusting for age, sex and study site. RTI was infrequently observed in the three months following MAD presentation, with significant variability by site and with the highest prevalence in Malawi. RTI risk was highest in 12-23-month-olds and among children with undernutrition, and those living in poor sanitation conditions.
Phillips, R.; Wood, F.; Torrens-Burton, A.; Glennan, C.; Sellars, P.; Lowe, S.; Caffoor, A.; Hallingberg, B.; Gillespie, D.; Shepherd, V.; Poortinga, W.; Wahl-Jorgensen, K.; Williams, D.
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Objectives Concerns about COVID-19 were a key driver of infection-prevention behaviour during the pandemic. The aim of this study was to gain an in-depth longitudinal understanding of the type and frequency of concerns experienced throughout the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic. Design Content analysis of qualitative descriptions provided in a prospective longitudinal online survey as part of the COVID-19 UK Public Experiences (COPE) Study. Method At baseline (March/April 2020), when the UK entered its first national lockdown, 11,113 adults completed the COPE survey. Follow-up surveys were conducted at 3, 12, 18 and 24 months. Participants were recruited via the HealthWise Wales research registry and social media. Baseline surveys collected demographic and health data, and all waves included an open-ended question about COVID-19 concerns. Content analysis was used to identify the type and frequency of concerns at each time point. Results A total of 41,564 open-text responses were coded into six categories: personal harm (n=16,353), harm to others (n=11,464), social/economic impact (n=6,433), preventing transmission (n=4,843), government/media (n=1,048), and general concerns (n=1,423). The proportion of respondents reporting any concern declined from 75.3% at baseline to 65.8% at 24 months. Over time, concerns about personal harm increased (baseline 41.8% vs. 24-months 52.7%) whereas concerns about harm to others decreased (baseline 48.5% vs. 24-months 28.6%). Concerns about harm were also expressed in relation to clinical vulnerability, lack of trust in government/media, and perceived lack of adherence by others. These were balanced against concerns about wider social and economic impacts of restrictions. Conclusions Public concerns about COVID-19 evolved substantially over the first two years of the pandemic, reflecting changing perceptions of risk and responsibility. Monitoring concerns longitudinally is vital to help guide effective communication and behavioural interventions during future pandemics.
Essex, R.; Lim, S.; Jagnoor, J.
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Drowning remains a major global public health challenge, yet how built environment characteristics shape population-level drowning risk remains poorly understood. This study linked satellite-derived built environment data to subnational drowning mortality estimates across 203 regions in 12 countries from 2006-2021. It found that built environment associations with drowning mortality are complex, non-linear, and shaped by development context. Urban extent was strongly protective, while built area near water showed protection overall but increased risk when combined with high population crowding. Almost all drowning mortality variance occurred between regions rather than within regions over time, indicating risk is predominantly determined by place-based characteristics. Income-stratified analyses revealed profound heterogeneity: crowding was protective in low-to middle-income settings but near-null in high-income regions, while waterfront development captured very different realities across contexts. These findings highlight the importance of tailoring drowning prevention strategies to local built environment configurations and development contexts.
Conte Cortez Martins, G.; Lutwama, J. J.; Owor, N.; Namulondo, J.; Ross, J. E.; Lu, X.; Asasira, I.; Kiyingi, T.; Nsereko, C.; Nsubuga, J. B.; Shinyale, J.; Kiwubeyi, M.; Nankwanga, R.; Nie, K.; Reynolds, S. J.; Kayiwa, J.; Kim-Schulze, S.; Bakamutumaho, B.; Cummings, M.
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ObjectiveStudies of nutritional status and host responses during severe and critical illness have focused predominantly on obesity; in contrast, the relationship between undernutrition, host responses, and clinical outcomes in adults hospitalized with severe infection remains poorly defined. We sought to determine whether severe undernutrition is associated with distinct host responses and clinical outcomes in adults hospitalized with severe infection. DesignProspective cohort study. SettingTwo public referral hospitals in Uganda. PatientsNon-pregnant adults ([≥]18 yr) hospitalized with severe, undifferentiated infection. InterventionsNone. Measurements and Main ResultsWe analyzed clinical data and serum Olink proteomic data from 432 participants (median age, 45 yr [IQR, 31-57 yr]; 44% male). Overall, 213 participants (49%) met prespecified criteria for undernutrition, including 52 (12%) with severe undernutrition. Clinically, severe undernutrition was associated with HIV coinfection, microbiologically diagnosed tuberculosis, greater physiological instability, and higher mortality. After adjustment for age, sex, illness duration, study site, and HIV, malaria, and tuberculosis coinfection, severe undernutrition was associated with higher expression of proteins involved in pro-inflammatory immune signaling, endothelial and vascular remodeling, hypoxia and oxidative stress responses, and extracellular matrix remodeling, together with lower expression of proteins linked to growth signaling, anticoagulant regulation, and lipid homeostasis. ConclusionsSevere undernutrition is associated with a distinct high-risk clinical phenotype and biologic signature in adults hospitalized with severe infection. These findings suggest that undernutrition may potentiate key domains of sepsis pathobiology, with implications for strengthening nutritional support and informing host-directed treatment strategies in low- and middle-income countries where malnutrition is common. Key PointsO_ST_ABSQuestionC_ST_ABSHow does undernutrition influence immune, metabolic, and endothelial responses to severe infection in adults? FindingsIn this multicenter cohort study of 432 adults hospitalized with severe infection in Uganda, severe undernutrition was associated with greater physiologic instability, higher mortality, and a distinct proteomic host-response profile. Adults with severe undernutrition exhibited a proteomic signature characterized by pro-inflammatory immune signaling, endothelial and extracellular matrix remodeling, and hypoxia and oxidative stress responses, together with lower expression of proteins involved in growth signaling, anticoagulant regulation, and lipid homeostasis. MeaningSevere undernutrition is associated with a distinct high-risk clinical and biologic phenotype during severe infection, with implications for nutritional support, risk stratification, and host-directed therapeutic strategies, particularly in low- and middle-income countries.
Wongnak, P.; Chaisiri, K.; Perrone, C.; Chalvet-Monfray, K.; Areechokchai, D.; Pan-ngum, W.
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BackgroundScrub typhus is a major yet neglected vector-borne disease in Thailand, where it has been nationally notifiable for over two decades. However, long-term changes in its epidemiology, including reporting rates, transmission intensity, disease severity, and seasonal patterns, have not been comprehensively characterised at the national level. MethodologyWe analysed 22 years of national surveillance data for scrub typhus in Thailand (2003-2024) using a latent process model that jointly fits reported cases with published nationwide seroprevalence data and antibody kinetics to estimate reporting rates and underlying transmission dynamics across all 77 provinces of Thailand. FindingsOver the 22-year study period, 143096 cases and 119 deaths were reported nationally. Estimated reporting proportion broadly mirrored transmission intensity, being higher in high-burden regions and lower elsewhere. A synchronous decline in detection was observed across all regions during the COVID-19 pandemic, followed by rapid rebound by 2024. After accounting for these reporting dynamics, the force of infection was highest in the northern provinces but also substantial in the northeast and south, with upward trends in some provinces. Susceptibility among older adults aged 65 and above increased progressively over the study period, reversing the pattern observed two decades earlier. Case-fatality in the 25-35-year reference group was low and declined from 0.14% (95% Credible Interval [CrI]: 0.06-0.29%) to 0.06% (95% CrI: 0.02-0.12%), but relative case-fatality remained consistently highest among adults above 65 across all periods. Three geographically distinct seasonal patterns were identified, all stable over time. ConclusionOver two decades, scrub typhus transmission in Thailand has been shown to extend well beyond its traditionally recognised northern focus, with substantial burden in previously underappreciated regions, while the demographic profile of those most affected has shifted progressively toward older adults. These findings support the need for regionally tailored surveillance, age-targeted clinical preparedness, and sustained investment in understanding the ecological drivers of transmission. Key messagesScrub typhus is a common but neglected cause of fever in Thailand, where it has been reported through the national surveillance system for over two decades. However, trends in reported cases can be misleading because they reflect not only true changes in transmission but also variation in diagnosis and reporting over time and across regions. We developed a model that combines surveillance data with seroprevalence surveys and antibody kinetics to separate true changes in transmission from variation in reporting, allowing us to estimate how transmission intensity, disease severity, and seasonal patterns have evolved from 2003 to 2024 across all 77 provinces. We found that substantial transmission occurs not only in the well-studied northern provinces but also in the northeast and south, where the disease has received less attention. Susceptibility has progressively shifted toward older adults, who also face the highest case-fatality, while three distinct seasonal patterns vary by region but have remained stable over time. These findings suggest that scrub typhus control in Thailand requires a shift from a predominantly northern focus toward regionally tailored strategies that account for local transmission timing, an ageing at-risk population, and the ecological drivers that sustain transmission in each setting.
Hassani, A.; Pecar, K.; Soliman, M.; Bunyon, P.; Ellinger, C.; Tulysewskid, G.; Croft, J.; Carillo, C.; Wewegama, G.; du Plessis-Schneider, S.; Estevez, J. J.
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Background Individuals experiencing or at risk of homelessness face substantial barriers to preventive eye care that are poorly addressed by standard service models. Interdisciplinary optometry-social work collaboration offers a rights-based approach to improving engagement and continuity of care. Methods A convergent mixed-methods study was conducted between February and August 2024 at a multidisciplinary community centre. Clients experiencing or at risk of homelessness received integrated optometry and social work assessment and were prioritised as high, medium, or low based on combined clinical and social risk. Social work follow-up was guided by the Triple Mandate and W-Questions framework. Quantitative data were summarised using mean (SD), median [IQR], or n (%). Qualitative case notes were analysed using content analysis with inductive coding and secondary review for consistency. Results A total of 165 clients had priority categories coded (high: 68; medium: 47; low: 154). Demographic data were available for 132 clients (60% male; mean age 49.5 years [SD 16]); 27% had not completed high school, 89% reported weekly income below AUD 1000, and 28% had vision impairment. Two hundred forty-five case-note entries were consolidated into 146 unique records. SMS (46%) and phone calls (38%) were the most documented contact methods, although only 21% of calls were answered; missed calls (13%) and disconnected numbers (7%) were common. Multi-modal contact was more frequently documented for higher-priority clients. Appointment assistance was the most recorded facilitator (71%), while rights-based supports, including interpreter and transport assistance, were infrequently documented (<=5%). Qualitative analysis identified unstable communication, reliance on informal supports, and service fragmentation as key influences on recall outcomes. Conclusion This study supports an interdisciplinary, rights-based optometry-social work model to address barriers to preventive eye care among people experiencing or at risk of homelessness. Embedding structured handovers and tiered recall processes within community-based services may strengthen continuity and accountability for high-priority clients. Future implementation should evaluate outcomes related to equity of reach, service integration, and sustained engagement in care.
Mills, E. A.; Bingham, R.; Nijman, R. G.; Sriskandan, S.
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BackgroundAn upsurge in Streptococcus pyogenes infections 2022-2023 highlighted potential benefits of point-of-care tests (POCT) to support clinical pathways, prevent outbreaks, and optimise antibiotic use. ObjectivesWe conducted a pilot research study in a west London paediatric emergency department (ED) to determine whether a molecular POCT had potential to alter management in children who were also having a conventional throat swab taken for culture. MethodsChildren <16 years presenting to ED who had a throat swab requested by a clinician were invited to have a second swab taken for research purposes only. Clinical management was unaffected by the research swab result, which was processed using a molecular POCT that was not approved for use in the host NHS Trust. ResultsPrevalence of streptococcal infection was low during the study (May 2023-June 2025); swab positivity in symptomatic children was 12.8% (6/47). Overall, 38/49 (77.6%) participants who had throat swabs received antibiotics. Of those children recommended to receive antibiotics, 29/38 (76.3%) had a negative POCT. Mean time to reporting of positive throat swab culture results was 3.67 days (range 3-5 days) leading to occasional delay in treatment, although POCT identified positive results within minutes. ConclusionAntibiotic use was frequent and could be avoided or stopped by use of a rule out POCT in over three-quarters of children in the ED, if suspicion of S. pyogenes is the main driver for prescribing. POCT were easy to process and produced immediate results compared with culture, in theory enabling timely decision-making and avoiding treatment delay.
Barre-Quick, M.; Yeh, P. T.; Kennedy, C. E.; Azuma, H.; McLellan, C.; Cooney, E. E.
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Abstract Importance Stigma and discrimination against transgender and gender-diverse people are prevalent across many settings and may contribute to substantial health disparities. Objective To synthesize global evidence on the prevalence of stigma, discrimination, and resilience among transgender (trans) and gender-diverse adults. Data Sources A systematic search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, CINAHL, Cochrane Central, LILACS, and PsycInfo for articles published between January 1, 2010 and January 2, 2023. This database search was supplemented by grey literature and secondary reference searches. Article Selection Studies were eligible if they presented primary quantitative data on prevalence of stigma, discrimination, and/or resilience among trans and gender-diverse adults (aged 18 and over), with no restrictions on study design, language, or geographic region. Data Extraction and Synthesis Two independent reviewers extracted data using standardized forms, with discrepancies resolved by consensus. The JBI Critical Appraisal Checklist for Prevalence Articles was used to assess risk of bias. Random effects meta-analysis was conducted for dichotomous prevalence measures using inverse variance weighting and logit transformation; non-dichotomous prevalence data were summarized descriptively. Main Outcomes and Measures Outcomes included prevalence estimates for various forms of stigma (anticipated, perceived, internalized, and experienced), discrimination in legal/institutional settings (housing, healthcare, employment, police/prison), and resilience. Results A total of 97 articles, with data from 72,158 unique trans and gender-diverse participants across 26 countries, met inclusion criteria. Studies showed moderate levels of anticipated stigma, perceived stigma, and internalized stigma. Meta-analyses of 36 studies provided pooled estimates of discrimination prevalence across multiple domains: 21.4% in housing (e.g., eviction, rental denial), 24.6% in healthcare (e.g., denial of care, mistreatment), 32.8% in employment (e.g., hiring bias, workplace harassment), and 39.1% in police/prison settings (e.g., profiling, mistreatment). High heterogeneity was observed across studies, reflecting regional and methodological differences. Resilience scores ranged from moderate to high, indicating variation within trans and gender-diverse communities. Conclusions and Relevance This systematic review and meta-analysis found that stigma and discrimination against trans and gender-diverse adults are pervasive globally. Variation in stigma and discrimination across settings and regions underscores the need for targeted interventions and policy reforms. Funding World Health Organization through a grant from the Elton John AIDS Foundation and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.
Sawadogo, J. W.; Hema, A.; Diarra, A.; Kabore, J. M.; Hien, D.; Kouraogo, L.; Zou, A. R.; Ouedraogo, A. Z.; Tiono, A. B.; Datta, S.; Pasetti, M. F.; Neuzil, K. M.; Sirima, S. B.; Ouedraogo, A.; Laurens, M. B.
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Typhoid fever remains a significant public health challenge in low- and middle-income countries. In 2018, The World Health Organization recommended a single dose typhoid conjugate vaccine (TCV) for routine immunization in endemic settings; however, evidence guiding booster doses remains limited. Homologous TCV booster doses have demonstrated immune boosting. This study assessed the immunogenicity and safety of a heterologous booster using a Vi capsular polysaccharide-CRM197 TCV (Vi-CRM) administered 5-6 years after primary vaccination with a Vi capsular polysaccharide tetanus toxoid TCV (Vi-TT) in children. Children previously enrolled in a Phase 2 trial were recruited. Participants who had received TCV at 9-11 or 15-23 months were given a Vi-CRM booster at 6-7 years of age (Booster-TCV group), and controls received their first TCV dose at the same age (1st-TCV group). Serum anti-Vi IgG concentrations were measured at baseline and 28 days post-vaccination. Solicited and unsolicited adverse events (AEs) and serious adverse events (SAEs) were recorded. Among 147 children enrolled, 87 received a second and 60 received a first TCV dose. Baseline anti-Vi IgG geometric mean titers (GMT) were higher in the Booster-TCV group (21.5 EU/mL; 95% CI: 17.2-26.8) than in the 1st-TCV group (5.5 EU/mL; 95% CI: 4.5-6.7). At day 28, GMTs rose markedly in both groups: 5140.0 EU/mL (95% CI: 4302.0-6141.3) in the Booster-TCV group and 2084.8 EU/mL (95% CI: 1724.4-2520.5) in the 1st-TCV group. Local reactions and systemic AEs were mild. No SAEs were observed. Vi-TT-induced immunity persisted for at least 5-6 years, and a heterologous booster triggered a strong immune response with universal seroconversion. These findings support heterologous prime-boost strategies to maintain protection in school-age children and inform optimization of TCV schedules in endemic regions.
Essex, R.; Lim, S.; Jagnoor, J.
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IntroductionDrowning risk begins with water exposure, yet population-water relationships have rarely been quantified at scale using environmental measures. This study explored whether satellite-derived data was associated with subnational drowning mortality and whether associations differed by country income level. MethodsWe linked Global Burden of Disease (GBD 2021) age-standardised drowning mortality rates to satellite-derived exposures for 212 subnational regions across 12 countries (2006-2021; 3,392 region-years). Exposures were extracted via Google Earth Engine and standardised. Gamma-log generalised linear mixed models included region random intercepts and year fixed effects. Income-stratified models were estimated separately. Supplementary models assessed maritime vessel activity. ResultsNear-water population percentage was the strongest correlate of drowning (IRR 1.40; 95% CI 1.33-1.47). Permanent water coverage was protective (IRR 0.80; 0.73-0.88), as were nighttime lights (IRR 0.96; 0.95-0.97) and hot days [≥]30{degrees}C (IRR 0.95; 0.92-0.99). Mean temperature (IRR 1.17; 1.11-1.23) and precipitation (IRR 1.03; 1.01-1.04) were positively associated. Near-water effects were consistent across income strata (LIC 1.25; MIC 1.31; HIC 1.24), while other predictors showed weak or inconsistent within-strata associations. Vessel activity was modestly associated with drowning in Global Fishing Watch models (IRR 1.05; 1.01-1.09) but not in Synthetic Aperture Radar models. DiscussionSatellite-derived indicators can characterise drowning risk at scale, with population proximity to water emerging as a robust cross-context correlate. Protective associations for permanent water suggest landscape configuration may shape risk beyond proximity alone, highlighting geospatial datas value for targeting prevention where surveillance is limited.
OGUNETIMOJU, A. M.; AJEBORIOGBON, S. A.
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BackgroundWomens autonomy in healthcare decision-making has become one of the most critical yet inequitably distributed determinants of health outcomes, gender equity, and sustainable development worldwide. In Northern Nigeria, the presence of ethnic and socio-cultural inequality is frequently concealed by the aggregated statistics of a region. MethodsThis cross-sectional secondary analysis utilized the 2024 Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey. The sample included 9,998 married women (15-49 years) identifying as Hausa, Fulani, or Kanuri in Northern Nigeria. Healthcare autonomy was categorized as husband/partner alone, respondent alone, or joint decision-making. Analysis included weighted descriptive statistics, Rao-Scott adjusted chi-square tests for residential associations, and complex sample multinomial logistic regression to identify multivariable correlates while adjusting for sampling weights, strata, and clusters. ResultsMean age was 30.38 years. Most participants lacked formal education (69.6%) and resided in rural areas (72.0%). Husband-only decision-making predominated (72.6%), while 22.5% reported joint and 4.9% independent autonomy. Joint decision-making was significantly higher in urban (33.3%) than rural areas (18.3%; Adjusted F=50.892, p<0.001). In adjusted models (Reference: Kanuri), Hausa and Fulani women had substantially lower odds of joint decision-making relative to husband-only outcomes. Rural residence correlated with lower odds of both independent and joint agency. Notably, wealth status was not a significant predictor after adjustment (p > 0.05). ConclusionsEthnicity and residence are robust determinants of healthcare autonomy among women in Northern Nigeria, persisting regardless of education or wealth. This "socio-cultural paradox" suggests that economic interventions alone are insufficient. Policies must complement socioeconomic approaches with culturally responsive strategies addressing household power dynamics and entrenched social norms.
Ekenze, O.; Scott, M. R.; Himali, D.; Lioutas, V.-A.; Seshadri, S.; Howard, V. J.; Fornage, M.; Aparicio, H. J.; Beiser, A. S.; Romero, J. R.
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Sex specific differences in stroke are recognized. Whether differences in incident stroke risk persists in recent periods needs further elucidation to aid public health preventive efforts. Aim: To determine long-term sex specific trends in stroke and stroke risk factors at different epochs among Framingham Heart Study participants. Methods: We examined age-adjusted 10-year stroke incidence using Cox regression in women and men in five epochs: 1962-1969 (epoch 1, reference), 1971-1976 (epoch 2), 1987-1991 (epoch 3), 1998-2005 (epoch 4), 2015-2021 (epoch 5). We compared stroke incidence by sex across epochs, estimated decade-wise linear trends overall and by sex. We compared risk factors in successive epochs to the first, and estimated sex-specific trends in risk factors. Interactions between baseline risk factors with epoch and trends were assessed by sex. Secondary analyses were repeated in participants <60 years old. Results: Incident stroke occurred in 4.5% (178/3996) in epoch 1, 3.9% (227/5786) in epoch 2, 3.9% (199/5137) in epoch 3, 2.7% (207/7642) in epoch 4, 2.2% (119/5534) in epoch 5. Men had higher risk of incident stroke in each epoch with significant difference in epochs 2 (HR 1.41, 95% CI [1.08, 1.84]) and 4 (HR 1.46, 95% CI [1.11, 1.91]) overall, and in epoch 4 (HR 2.13, 95% CI [1.17, 3.87]) among those <60 years. Stroke incidence declined by 16% per decade in men (HR 0.84, 95% CI [0.79, 0.89]) and 19% per decade in women (HR 0.81, 95% CI [0.76, 0.86]). Among those <60 years, stroke incidence declined by 22% per decade in women (HR 0.78, 95% CI [0.67, 0.95]). Hypertension declined by 8% per decade in women only ([OR] 0.92, 95% CI [0.90, 0.94]), while Atrial fibrillation and diabetes increased in both. Conclusion: Stroke incidence continues to decline in recent periods for women and men. Among participants <60 years, decline was observed only in women, possibly related to decline in hypertension in women.
Murakami, M.; Ohtake, F.
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While vaccination conflicts have become apparent, physicians' attitudes toward those with differing views remain unclear. Through an online survey of 492 physicians and 5,252 members of the general public in Japan in February 2026, we investigated attitudes toward four vaccines (influenza, measles, HPV, and COVID-19). Intergroup bias was assessed as ingroup minus outgroup attitudes using a feeling thermometer. Multilevel regression examined associations with agreement group and physician status. Intergroup bias was significantly positive in both agreement and disagreement groups across all vaccine types, and was higher in the agreement group. Physicians exhibited higher intergroup bias than the general public. These findings indicate that vaccination conflict is bidirectional: physicians, often viewed as targets of hostility from vaccine-hesitant individuals, themselves exhibit greater intergroup bias toward those with opposing views. Interventions to raise physicians' awareness of their own bias, alongside communication strategies for vaccine-hesitant individuals, are needed.
Ollila, H. M.; Eghtedarian, R.; Haapaniemi, H.; Ramste, M.; FinnGen,
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Background: Narcolepsy is a debilitating sleep disorder caused by hypocretin deficiency. Aside from its role to induce wakefulness, hypocretin is linked to modulated appetite and metabolism, often resulting in weight gain. Study objectives: We aimed to unravel the comprehensive epidemiological connection between narcolepsy and major cardiometabolic outcomes. Methods: We analyzed cardiovascular and metabolic disease distribution in the FinnGen study. Using longitudinal electronic health records, we assessed associations between narcolepsy, cardiac/metabolic markers, and prescriptions for relevant drugs. Results: Our findings demonstrate significant associations between narcolepsy and metabolic traits (OR [95% CI] = 2.65 [1.81, 3.89]) as well as stroke (OR = 2.36 [1.38, 4.04]). Narcolepsy patients exhibit a less favourable metabolic profile, including higher glucose levels (OR = 1.1143 [1.0599, 1.1715]) and dyslipidaemia. This is supported by increased prescriptions of insulin (OR = 2.269 [1.46, 3.53]), simvastatin (OR = 2.292 [1.59, 3.31]), and metformin (OR = 2.327 [1.66, 3.25]), reflecting high metabolic disturbances. Furthermore, positive associations with antihypertensive and antiplatelet medications were observed, consistent with elevated cardiovascular risk. Conclusion: Taken together, our findings highlight the cardiometabolic burden in narcolepsy. This study enhances understanding of the metabolic and cardiovascular consequences of narcolepsy and offers timely guidance for effective disease control.
Wandji Djouonang, B.; Olungah, C. O.; Atsali, E.; Kihara, A.-B.; Omanwa, K.; Obimbo, M. M.; Ogengo, J.
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Objective To analyse sociodemographic determinants of maternal health indicators in Kenyas conflict-affected regions. Methods A cross-sectional secondary analysis of the 2022 Kenya Demographic and Health Survey (KDHS) was conducted. Conflict-affected counties were identified using ACLED (>25 fatalities). The sample included 1,060 women aged 15-49 years. Outcomes were adequate antenatal care (ANC 4+), facility delivery, and skilled birth attendance (SBA). Predictors included age, education, wealth, employment, residence, and county; intimate partner violence was adjusted for. Weighted descriptive statistics, chi-square tests, and multivariable logistic regression were applied (p<0.05). Results Six counties met conflict criteria. While 90.2% of women attended at least one ANC visit, only 53.5% achieved ANC 4+. Facility delivery and SBA were 68.2% and 72.2%, respectively. Adolescents (15-19) were least likely to attain adequate ANC; women aged 20-24 had higher odds (aOR=1.83; 95% CI: 1.01-3.34). Education strongly predicted outcomes: higher education increased ANC 4+ (aOR=2.74; 95% CI: 1.19-6.34) and facility delivery (aOR=2.72; 95% CI: 1.15-6.47). Wealth showed strong gradients: middle quintile increased facility delivery (aOR=5.50; 95% CI: 2.14-14.14), while richer quintile increased SBA (aOR=11.04; 95% CI: 2.06-59.25). Rural residence reduced facility delivery (aOR=0.32) and SBA (aOR=0.22). County disparities persisted. IPV was not independently associated. Conclusion Maternal health indicators in conflict-affected Kenya follow a marked inequity gradient. Adolescents, rural residents, and socioeconomically disadvantaged women are most excluded. Strengthening adolescent ANC continuity, reducing rural access barriers, and investing in education and economic empowerment are critical for improving outcomes.